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Research

Market Monarch Research

Independent, data-driven studies of how markets and popular trading models actually behave — tested against real data, published with the honest result.

ICT reversal model regime study
Quantitative Research[DATE] · 12 min read

Does the ICT reversal model actually have an edge?

We coded the sweep → displacement → MSS → FVG sequence and tested it over a 16-year backtest, a full parameter search, and 800 synthetic market-years. The full model showed no positive edge — and we show exactly where the signal drains away.

Read the study →